Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumIn Crucial Pennsylvania, Democrats Worry a Fracking Ban Could Sink Them
PITTSBURGH Though they are both Democrats, John Fetterman, Pennsylvanias lieutenant governor, and Bill Peduto, this citys mayor, have their differences on the environment. Mr. Fetterman, who toppled an incumbent Democrat in 2018 from the left, nevertheless calls Pennsylvania the Saudi Arabia of natural gas and sees extracting and taxing gas as critical to the states economy and the union way of life. Mr. Peduto lobbied unsuccessfully against a local petrochemical plant and is steering his once-struggling steel town to be independent of fossil fuels within 15 years.
But they agree on one thing: a pledge to ban all hydraulic fracturing, better known as fracking, could jeopardize any presidential candidates chances of winning this most critical of battleground states and thus the presidency itself. So as Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren woo young environmental voters with a national fracking ban, these two Democrats are uneasy.
In Pennsylvania, youre talking hundreds of thousands of related jobs that would be they would be unemployed overnight, said Mr. Fetterman, who endorsed Mr. Sanders in 2016 before Donald J. Trump won his state, pop. 12.8 million, by just over 44,000 votes. Pennsylvania is a margin play, he added. And an outright ban on fracking isnt a margin play.
Mr. Peduto said the Warren-Sanders, ban-all-fracking-right-now position would absolutely devastate communities throughout the Rust Belt and pit environmentalists against workers at a time when Democrats need both. If a candidate comes into this state and tries to sell that policy, theyre going to have a hard time winning, he said.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/27/us/politics/pennsylvania-democrats-fracking.html
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
calimary
(81,459 posts)Oops - my mistake. It ALREADY HAS started burning up.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
FBaggins
(26,757 posts)If so... then winning PA is absolutely critical. Positions that make that untenable need to be reconsidered.
It's also worth considering that "fracking" in PA is almost exclusively natural gas... and that cheap supply has not only helped the economy (of far more than just PA)... it has substantially lowered national carbon emissions.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
MH1
(17,600 posts)What about the methane?
I'll admit this isn't my area so I don't have numbers, but the general sense is that fracking isn't nearly as clean as it is touted, because of the methane released. That may not offset the carbon benefit on the other side though.
Meanwhile it is polluting groundwater.
There is no free lunch, there is no perfectly clean energy (yet at least). Even capturing solar has lifecycle pollution costs.
The job of politicians should be forcing reversal of "externalization" of costs to the environment, with those costs calculated as accurately as possible.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
FBaggins
(26,757 posts)The consumption side of the scale is where I want to focus. I don't think it helps the environment all that much where fuels are extracted. If we're going to burn oil/gas, I'd rather that it be produced as locally as possible so that we aren't exporting either the cash or the production impact to other countries.
Yes, the counterargument could be made that the lower prices encourage increased consumption, but that is better handled through taxation than in supply constraints that only benefit OPEC and oil companies.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Amishman
(5,559 posts)Coal is on the ropes, and the reason why is that gas is so much cheaper
You get rid of gas and oil by making other alternatives even cheaper. Taxing the undesirables won't work, the tax gets passed on and consumers revolt and vote Republican. You have to massively subsidize the market to the point that no one wants to use fossil fuels.
And yes, a fracking ban could easily push PA red again. It's not just the jobs, it's also land leases.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)If a man or woman has problems putting food on the table for their kids, fires in Australia are the last things on their minds.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
redqueen
(115,103 posts)We will not learn. There is no hope.
I hope everyone here realizes that even if we reduced output of all greenhouse gasses today, to zero, the effects of what we've already done would not stop. Not for decades.
And people are arguing about whether or not we should ban fracking. SERIOUSLY?!
Fracking is WORSE for the environment due to the methane released!
https://climate.nasa.gov/faq/16/is-it-too-late-to-prevent-climate-change/
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
David__77
(23,501 posts)I dont think that estimates of emissions associated with natural gas consumptions are necessarily accounting for upstream emissions; rather, I think they may just be accounting for emissions at the power plant and downstream from there. Depending on the assessed upstream impact, that could really change the benefit cost calculations on programmatic decarbonization interventions.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Response to FBaggins (Original post)
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doc03
(35,364 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MH1
(17,600 posts)"Come and get it, take our resources for FREE" approach that PA took from the start.
PA is FUCKED on fracking.
I support an eventual ban but Fetterman - very liberal - is correct. An all-out, "right now, everywhere" ban will lose PA in the presidential election. But at the least the stuff ought to be taxed and far better regulated. Gas companies are touting how cheap they are by comparison to other energy sources but that is because they have externalized so many costs that they should not have been able to externalize)
(yeah I recognize the irony with the guy I'm supporting. He is generally correct. In the real world, we do need to factor in politics. Since my state goes so late in the primary, for me to support someone is a pipe dream anyway, so may as well be the guy with the best ideas.)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Until we figure out how to keep people fully employed while we go from fossil fuels to clean energy, republicans are going to have powerful talking points if we try to ban stuff.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TheBlackAdder
(28,211 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TheBlackAdder
(28,211 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Some people that least the actual drilling location rights make out, but their neighbors that get gas fracted from under them get the side effects and none of the money. But fracking produces jobs in places that were once hard hit for jobs, so banning it becomes a political hard sell.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Claritie Pixie
(2,199 posts)There's a fracking glut in PA:
Nowhere are the declining fortunes of natural gas more in evidence than in Appalachia, where the Marcellus field centered in central and western Pennsylvania was once viewed as the most promising in North America. With gas prices slashed nearly in half from a year ago, the number of drilling rigs operating in Pennsylvania has dropped to 24, from 47, over the last 12 months. EQT, one of the premier producers in the Marcellus, recently cut nearly a quarter of its work force, eliminating 196 positions.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/11/business/energy-environment/natural-gas-shale-chevron.html
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Recursion
(56,582 posts)Unfortunately for the next decade or so (and that's optimistic) it's kind of a "pick your poison" situation.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden