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FBaggins

(26,757 posts)
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 02:19 PM Jan 2020

In Crucial Pennsylvania, Democrats Worry a Fracking Ban Could Sink Them

PITTSBURGH — Though they are both Democrats, John Fetterman, Pennsylvania’s lieutenant governor, and Bill Peduto, this city’s mayor, have their differences on the environment. Mr. Fetterman, who toppled an incumbent Democrat in 2018 from the left, nevertheless calls Pennsylvania “the Saudi Arabia of natural gas” and sees extracting and taxing gas as critical to the state’s economy and the “union way of life.” Mr. Peduto lobbied unsuccessfully against a local petrochemical plant and is steering his once-struggling steel town to be independent of fossil fuels within 15 years.

But they agree on one thing: a pledge to ban all hydraulic fracturing, better known as fracking, could jeopardize any presidential candidate’s chances of winning this most critical of battleground states — and thus the presidency itself. So as Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren woo young environmental voters with a national fracking ban, these two Democrats are uneasy.

“In Pennsylvania, you’re talking hundreds of thousands of related jobs that would be — they would be unemployed overnight,” said Mr. Fetterman, who endorsed Mr. Sanders in 2016 before Donald J. Trump won his state, pop. 12.8 million, by just over 44,000 votes. “Pennsylvania is a margin play,” he added. “And an outright ban on fracking isn’t a margin play.”

Mr. Peduto said “the Warren-Sanders, ban-all-fracking-right-now” position would “absolutely devastate communities throughout the Rust Belt” and pit environmentalists against workers at a time when Democrats need both. “If a candidate comes into this state and tries to sell that policy, they’re going to have a hard time winning,” he said.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/27/us/politics/pennsylvania-democrats-fracking.html

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18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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calimary

(81,459 posts)
1. What will they say when our planet starts burning up?
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 02:23 PM
Jan 2020

Oops - my mistake. It ALREADY HAS started burning up.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

FBaggins

(26,757 posts)
2. Do you not consider victory in the 2020 election to be relevant to climate change concerns?
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 02:30 PM
Jan 2020

If so... then winning PA is absolutely critical. Positions that make that untenable need to be reconsidered.

It's also worth considering that "fracking" in PA is almost exclusively natural gas... and that cheap supply has not only helped the economy (of far more than just PA)... it has substantially lowered national carbon emissions.

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MH1

(17,600 posts)
7. Has it really lowered carbon emissions that much?
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:49 PM
Jan 2020

What about the methane?

I'll admit this isn't my area so I don't have numbers, but the general sense is that fracking isn't nearly as clean as it is touted, because of the methane released. That may not offset the carbon benefit on the other side though.

Meanwhile it is polluting groundwater.

There is no free lunch, there is no perfectly clean energy (yet at least). Even capturing solar has lifecycle pollution costs.

The job of politicians should be forcing reversal of "externalization" of costs to the environment, with those costs calculated as accurately as possible.

If I were to vote in a presidential
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Joe Biden
 

FBaggins

(26,757 posts)
8. I think that it has... but also that it really isn't the key to the discussion
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:59 PM
Jan 2020

The consumption side of the scale is where I want to focus. I don't think it helps the environment all that much where fuels are extracted. If we're going to burn oil/gas, I'd rather that it be produced as locally as possible so that we aren't exporting either the cash or the production impact to other countries.

Yes, the counterargument could be made that the lower prices encourage increased consumption, but that is better handled through taxation than in supply constraints that only benefit OPEC and oil companies.

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Amishman

(5,559 posts)
10. You don't do it by banning fracking, you do it by making it undesirable
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:08 PM
Jan 2020

Coal is on the ropes, and the reason why is that gas is so much cheaper

You get rid of gas and oil by making other alternatives even cheaper. Taxing the undesirables won't work, the tax gets passed on and consumers revolt and vote Republican. You have to massively subsidize the market to the point that no one wants to use fossil fuels.

And yes, a fracking ban could easily push PA red again. It's not just the jobs, it's also land leases.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
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Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
14. People think first about their here and now.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 10:10 PM
Jan 2020

If a man or woman has problems putting food on the table for their kids, fires in Australia are the last things on their minds.

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redqueen

(115,103 posts)
3. I'm starting to think my daughter is right.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:11 PM
Jan 2020

We will not learn. There is no hope.

I hope everyone here realizes that even if we reduced output of all greenhouse gasses today, to zero, the effects of what we've already done would not stop. Not for decades.

And people are arguing about whether or not we should ban fracking. SERIOUSLY?!

Fracking is WORSE for the environment due to the methane released!


https://climate.nasa.gov/faq/16/is-it-too-late-to-prevent-climate-change/

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David__77

(23,501 posts)
11. That's interesting.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:22 PM
Jan 2020

I don’t think that estimates of emissions associated with natural gas consumptions are necessarily accounting for “upstream” emissions; rather, I think they may just be accounting for emissions at the power plant and “downstream” from there. Depending on the assessed “upstream” impact, that could really change the benefit cost calculations on programmatic decarbonization interventions.

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Response to FBaggins (Original post)

 

MH1

(17,600 posts)
6. Because of the "wild West" approach with NO severance tax,
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:44 PM
Jan 2020

"Come and get it, take our resources for FREE" approach that PA took from the start.

PA is FUCKED on fracking.

I support an eventual ban but Fetterman - very liberal - is correct. An all-out, "right now, everywhere" ban will lose PA in the presidential election. But at the least the stuff ought to be taxed and far better regulated. Gas companies are touting how cheap they are by comparison to other energy sources but that is because they have externalized so many costs that they should not have been able to externalize)

(yeah I recognize the irony with the guy I'm supporting. He is generally correct. In the real world, we do need to factor in politics. Since my state goes so late in the primary, for me to support someone is a pipe dream anyway, so may as well be the guy with the best ideas.)

If I were to vote in a presidential
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Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
15. The gas companies employ people, who spend money that leads to other people being employed.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 10:21 PM
Jan 2020

Until we figure out how to keep people fully employed while we go from fossil fuels to clean energy, republicans are going to have powerful talking points if we try to ban stuff.

If I were to vote in a presidential
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TheBlackAdder

(28,211 posts)
9. I think the folks in Dimock, PA would disagree with that.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:59 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
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Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
16. Mind elaborating more? nt
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 10:22 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
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TheBlackAdder

(28,211 posts)
17. I met a few of the residents from Dimock as part of F&WW. They were destroyed by fracking.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 10:35 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
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Blue_true

(31,261 posts)
18. Fracking does appear to be a mixed bag.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 11:18 PM
Jan 2020

Some people that least the actual drilling location rights make out, but their neighbors that get gas fracted from under them get the side effects and none of the money. But fracking produces jobs in places that were once hard hit for jobs, so banning it becomes a political hard sell.

If I were to vote in a presidential
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Claritie Pixie

(2,199 posts)
12. This is a non-story. NYT should read it's own articles lol.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:47 PM
Jan 2020

There's a fracking glut in PA:

Nowhere are the declining fortunes of natural gas more in evidence than in Appalachia, where the Marcellus field centered in central and western Pennsylvania was once viewed as the most promising in North America. With gas prices slashed nearly in half from a year ago, the number of drilling rigs operating in Pennsylvania has dropped to 24, from 47, over the last 12 months. EQT, one of the premier producers in the Marcellus, recently cut nearly a quarter of its work force, eliminating 196 positions.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/12/11/business/energy-environment/natural-gas-shale-chevron.html

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Recursion

(56,582 posts)
13. Less fracking means more coal
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 08:49 PM
Jan 2020

Unfortunately for the next decade or so (and that's optimistic) it's kind of a "pick your poison" situation.

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