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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

brooklynite

(94,724 posts)
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 03:50 PM Jan 2020

How record-high turnout in Iowa could shuffle the 2020 race

Politico

It might not be enough to blunt the momentum swinging nationally to Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. But for Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar, high turnout in the Iowa caucuses may be their only chance.

One week from today in Iowa, Warren and Buttigieg will flex their organizational advantages for the first time, and Klobuchar will test the extent of her appeal to rural Democrats. Their prospects are pinned to uncertain turnout models in which Sanders does not dramatically expand his base — and Biden does not consolidate moderate support.

“The national conversation seems to be moving past Pete, past Elizabeth, to Bernie and Biden. That’s where I think everything’s heading, or returning,” said Doug Herman, who was a lead mail strategist for Barack Obama’s 2008 and 2012 campaigns. “It’s kind of a reset back to the beginning of the race.”

But if there is high turnout in Iowa, he said, “It may help the other candidates: It may be what they need to stay viable.”
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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How record-high turnout in Iowa could shuffle the 2020 race (Original Post) brooklynite Jan 2020 OP
The problem with the caucus is you have to be present in person, and that discriminates against still_one Jan 2020 #1
I still don't get how KT2000 Jan 2020 #2
Agreed squirecam Jan 2020 #3
I love how they don't mention Yang at all. redqueen Jan 2020 #4
What kind of ground team does Yang have? brooklynite Jan 2020 #6
Is Iowa a good predictor of the nomination? JustABozoOnThisBus Jan 2020 #5
That is a question judeling Jan 2020 #7
 

still_one

(92,381 posts)
1. The problem with the caucus is you have to be present in person, and that discriminates against
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:01 PM
Jan 2020

those who have mobility problems, or cannot attend in person. It also makes it difficult for a secret ballot.

From my perspective, anything can happen with a caucus.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

KT2000

(20,586 posts)
2. I still don't get how
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 04:26 PM
Jan 2020

2+ million people can have so much power. No matter what, everyone should stay in.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

squirecam

(2,706 posts)
3. Agreed
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:09 PM
Jan 2020

At least have the first 4.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

redqueen

(115,103 posts)
4. I love how they don't mention Yang at all.
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:25 PM
Jan 2020


We'll see how it all shakes out next week!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

brooklynite

(94,724 posts)
6. What kind of ground team does Yang have?
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:40 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,364 posts)
5. Is Iowa a good predictor of the nomination?
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:35 PM
Jan 2020

It seems like a strange place, disproportionately white, with a caucus system instead of a primary.

I like it, it gets the candidates out talking to people, and the result is not numerically insurmountable.

If the year started with CA, FL, NY, then the initial big money would be favored. We probably would have had Pres HRC instead of BHO.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

judeling

(1,086 posts)
7. That is a question
Mon Jan 27, 2020, 05:52 PM
Jan 2020

What Iowa does show is a candidates some ability to reach beyond the current Democratic base.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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