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Democratic Primaries

brooklynite

(94,592 posts) Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:03 AM Jan 2020

3

New Monmouth Iowa poll...

Link to tweet

Option 1: Biden is SURGING!!!!!

Option 2: the race was close last week, it's close this week, it'll be close on Monday. Ground game is everything.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

7 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

New Monmouth Iowa poll... (Original Post) brooklynite Jan 2020 OP

Bernie never "surged" -- he has a core group of sycophantic devotees of about 15% NCProgressive Jan 2020 #1

I wouldn't necessarily write Biden off in Iowa or NH, especially with the recent context still_one Jan 2020 #5

lol. I love your sardonic wit. Option 2 still_one Jan 2020 #2

Reportedly, Sanders has a very sophisticated social media Hortensis Jan 2020 #3

Is Yang within the margin of error? awesomerwb1 Jan 2020 #4

Basically this means Iowa is a wash. honest.abe Jan 2020 #6

Biden is -1 and Sanders is +3 from BrooklynJet2020 Jan 2020 #7

NCProgressive

(1,315 posts)

1. Bernie never "surged" -- he has a core group of sycophantic devotees of about 15%

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:08 AM

Jan 2020

on average, probably more in IA and NH because they are not diverse states.

It is likely that Bernie will get no delegates at all in FL, TX, GA and other states in the South. Biden can withstand the loss of 2-5 delegates in IA and NH.

After IA and NH, it is all downhill for BS.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

still_one

(92,217 posts)

5. I wouldn't necessarily write Biden off in Iowa or NH, especially with the recent context

Reply to NCProgressive (Reply #1)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:21 AM

Jan 2020

distortions against him with convenient cut and pasting of videos that leave out the full context

I suspect that can very likely backfire on the campaign propagating that garbage

I agree with the points you are making

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

still_one

(92,217 posts)

2. lol. I love your sardonic wit. Option 2

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:11 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)

3. Reportedly, Sanders has a very sophisticated social media

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:12 AM

Jan 2020

operation that bypasses media scrutiny of his messages to deliver them directly, unevaluated, to tens of millions of recipients. Ground game's especially important in Iowa because they expect it and would be offended if it didn't show, but massive internet campaigning is behind his numbers.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

awesomerwb1

(4,268 posts)

4. Is Yang within the margin of error?

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:15 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

honest.abe

(8,678 posts)

6. Basically this means Iowa is a wash.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:41 AM

Jan 2020

I guess the actual "winner" will get a bit of a boost but not much.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BrooklynJet2020

(19 posts)

7. Biden is -1 and Sanders is +3 from

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 11:41 AM

Jan 2020

the last poll conducted.

Just for context.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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