really did get came from Warren ...and I am sorry for that as I think his treatment of her is abysmal.

Doing stuff to make Sanders surge.

saw a small segment snip last night of Tucker Carlson and the rest of the stable of pundits heaping praise on Bernie. They know they can't build up trump, and they aren't tearing down Biden as much as they'd like. So it seems like a new strategy is to try to pump up Biden's opponent in the primaries. We all know they'd love to run against Bernie in the general, it would bloodbath like we haven't seen in years. I think that's why the right is pumping Bernie at this time.

As they get more absurd, there's a backlash. Part of it is just an underdog instinct, or anti-bullying type thing. I mean, here you've got a guy who, love him or hate him, has been a consistent Democratic Socialist his whole career. The press and twitter start trying to bash him claiming that, of all things, he's wanting to cut Social Security, or opposing Single Payer, and it's like WTF? Or, you've got the press insisting that Warren's account of what happened in a room with Warren and Bernie is a "reported fact" instead of just a disagreement between two people that nobody else could possibly know who is right about. That kind of stuff just strikes a fundamental unfairness chord in people.

Also I think it helps him that a lot of the attacks come from Republicans like Jennifer Rubin. Yeah, she opposes Trump, but I don't thing Dems like Reps trying to tell them who to nominate.

Polls show that Bernie is the one who people agree most on policy, and Biden is the one people think is most electable. I think all the dumb attacks on Bernie are activating people to just say, wow, this is ridiculous, I'm going to vote my progressive values and not let these attackers tell me what to think.

and the backlash pushes them more towards Bernie, who is the least Bloomberg-like or Frum-like candidate in the field.

Where do you get this idea?

It didn't land. Try another angle.

If the shoe fits...

Which polls are you referring to that show "Bernie is the one who people agree most on policy"

Do tell us that this isn't another one of those "it's a big chunk" claims that you seem to hang onto despite being presented with data to the contrary.

(I get it... pointing out a logical fallacy is another one of these alleged "attacks, eh?)

any of the relevant facts -- I can't help you. Look at the polls over time. Who's numbers have trended up and whose have trended down over time. That's all you need to know.

Oh, and not everything about how many people prefer or shifts in preference for particular candidates has to do with a candidates' saying or proposing something new.

ps -- I do think DanTex is onto something. The voracious attacks of late have piqued my interest in and potential support for Sanders once again. I had pretty much ruled Sanders out and was leaning more strongly toward Warren, Buttigieg or Yang, but my perspective has changed on that.

But my post is based on some poll results posted here showing Biden Down and Bernie up. And that seems to be consistent over the past week or so. Is it a "surge" or just normal variations? This is why I hate the poll sites. But this is what I've been seeing, and I couldn't help but ask because I'm not seeing anything in particular that would account for this kind of shift. Might it change today? Tomorrow? Next week? Probably.

BTW, corrections are pretty meaningless because once the poll is out, that's what people recall (me included), not the correction.

Sanders is taking votes away from Warren but will not have enough to get the nomination

Right now, everyone's all atwitter about Iowa and New Hampshire, as if they were really important in choosing a nominee. They're not. But, they're both states with very white demographic makeups. They're also very small states, which makes it easy for candidates to cover with campaigning.

Bernie is up and down, but the reality is that the few delegates both states have to allocate will be divided up among maybe four candidates, making both states even less important in the delegate count race.

Bernie surges and falls. Biden surges and falls. Warren and Buttigieg are the only other two that might get delegates in those states. Right now, the polling and media attention is all about Iowa and New Hampshire. That is about to end, though.

A new poll in Florida tells a different story. In that poll, only Biden and (wait for it) Bloomberg get high enough percentages to even qualify for delegates, and Biden's way out in front, with over 40%, with Bloomberg trailing at 17%. Warren, Sanders, and Buttigieg are in single digits in that poll. If that held up, none of them would earn a single delegate from Florida.

And, in the end, it will be the delegate count that determines the nominee. It's beginning to look like it's going to be a lopsided race among Biden, Sanders, and Bloomberg, once we move out of the bush league caucuses and primaries.

Things are about to change.

knew press scrutiny would crucify him, when RW-electing media weren't using him to take out whoever our frontrunner was of course.

So Sanders' strategy was to do an end run around scrutiny and the inevitable revelations of his history, true ideology, serial unethical behaviors, and decades of complete failure to achieve any of his goals by avoiding the press AMAP and delivering internet messages directly from his campaign to recipient brains. Reportedly, he has an extremely large and sophisticated database and has been swamping the nation with high-sounding rhetoric.

Oh, right.

Boots on the ground

The premise of your question is inherently flawed by accepting that which the data does not illustrate.

I'll calm down now. (That's not snark. I appreciate the comments. But when you look at the daily articles on poll movements, it can be seriously disorienting.)

Without caucuses in a good number of states, sanders will have problems due to fact that Joe is a far stronger general election candidate compared to a weak candidate like sanders

Link to tweet

It looked like that could have been Warren not Bernie for a while last year, but it’s turned out that Bernie’s consistency appears to have handed him back the progressive mantle.

Bernie doesn’t change, it’s one of his big appeals. He’s been supporting the same things for years beyond counting, whereas many other candidates will change positions based on what appears to be popular at the time. It means you very rarely see him u-turn on issues, which helps build a sense of integrity with voters.

What’s likely to happen is that both Bernie and Joe will gain more in the last few days before the polls open, and then even more as the other candidates start to drop out. It’s just natural for a primary.