Democratic Primaries

denem

(11,045 posts) Wed Jan 29, 2020, 02:40 PM Jan 2020

538 chances of winning : Biden 1 in 2 (46%), Sanders 3 in 10 (28%)

Last edited Thu Jan 30, 2020, 06:09 AM - Edit history (1)

Sanders 'surge' is a refection of a collapse in Warren's chances (6%).
Biden's chances are as good, or better, than ever.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

8 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538 chances of winning : Biden 1 in 2 (46%), Sanders 3 in 10 (28%) (Original Post) denem Jan 2020 OP

Wow... pfeiffer Jan 2020 #1

There was a mistake in their calculations. denem Jan 2020 #3

Indeed!! Go Joe go!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #2

Biden is surging. nt TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #4

LOL this is the proper usage of the word "surge", and it only applies to Biden onetexan Jan 2020 #6

Vegas Odd's? Wellstone ruled Jan 2020 #5

KR! Cha Jan 2020 #7

K&R Tarheel_Dem Jan 2020 #8

pfeiffer

(280 posts)

1. Wow...

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 02:49 PM

Jan 2020

what a difference just one day makes over at 538.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

denem

(11,045 posts)

3. There was a mistake in their calculations.

Reply to pfeiffer (Reply #1)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 02:51 PM

Jan 2020

These are the corrected numbers. If anything, Biden's chances of winning have risen since the model was unveiled.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(32,778 posts)

2. Indeed!! Go Joe go!!

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 02:50 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TexasTowelie

(112,252 posts)

4. Biden is surging. nt

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 03:03 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

onetexan

(13,043 posts)

6. LOL this is the proper usage of the word "surge", and it only applies to Biden

Reply to TexasTowelie (Reply #4)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 03:31 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Wellstone ruled

(34,661 posts)

5. Vegas Odd's?

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 03:07 PM

Jan 2020

Sounds about right.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(297,322 posts)

7. KR!

Reply to denem (Original post)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 06:58 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tarheel_Dem

(31,235 posts)

8. K&R

Reply to denem (Original post)

Thu Jan 30, 2020, 05:37 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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