That's the big unknown here

People keep thinking the numbers they see add up to the 100%, but they're only half of the picture.

quite a few Warren supporters. I don’t want any of the far left candidates to win. However, if I had to choose between Warren and Sanders Warren would absolutely get my vote.

but I did hear Warren a lot, too.

I totally agree about your choices. Warren at least explains her positions respectfully and thoughtfully, as if people have a right to know information. I appreciate that.

"far left" candidate.

She believes in capitalism.

Some of the folks supporting the Senators you name are far to the left.

Yet, even Senator Sanders himself would be a little to the left of center in most first world countries around the world. His proposed tax rate isn't as high as David Dwight Eisenhower's was.

This is the country that passed the law to create land grant colleges during our civil war so that education would be affordable. It used to be.

This is the country that gave away most of its land area under the various homestead acts.

Theodore Roosevelt tried to get a national health service.

Neither Senator Warren, nor Sanders are too far left. That is simply what GOP kleptocrats want you to believe.

And as a Warren supporter I love never having to worry about Ayanna Pressley messing up. Charles Pierce says she’s tearing it up out there for EW, like anyone who follows her knew she would. No bad headlines included.

for the squad.

to bring structural change needed and do it systematically so it can last beyond the rhetoric.

country can survive 4 more years with that sack of shit still as President.

That was Kerry who was about 3 points ahead in averages. Right now Bernie is about that much ahead in averages. If it were to be like 2004 Bernie will pull out about 37% like Kerry did, only because he is the rcp poll leader.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/polls_State_Polls_04.html

...

the winner.

They did two detailed scenarios, one with Biden winning and one with Sanders winning, and in both the winner got 13 delegates, the next two got 10 or 11, and the 4th place finisher got 7 or 8 delegates.

They don't expect her to fall below 15%.

Link to the article

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/election-2020-battleground-tracker-what-could-happen-in-iowa-monday-2020-02-02/

and this is what they wrote about how she could win (they also did a paragraph on how Buttigieg could win):

natesilver: According to our polling average — well, FiveThirtyEight didn’t exist back then, but this is what you’d get if you calculated a polling average in the same manner we do now — Dean peaked at 29 percent in Iowa about 12 days before the voting there.

His polling average was down to 22 percent on the night of the caucuses. Then he actually got 18 percent at the caucus itself.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-howard-dean-can-teach-us-about-2016/

I hope your prediction about Elizabeth Warren is correct but you have the history of 2004 wrong.

that Donald J Trump could very well be re-elected if we nominate the wrong candidate, and that they will rally to the person who is best poised to beat him.