Democratic Primaries

denem

(11,045 posts) Tue Feb 11, 2020, 11:42 AM Feb 2020

Morning Consult: Sanders (+1) 25%, Biden (-6) 22%, Bloomberg (+3) 17%, Buttigieg (+5) 11%

Warren (-3) 11%, Yang (-) 4%, Klobuchar (-) 3%

Sanders has benefited little from the fall in Biden & Warren voters. He has the same problem Biden has/had, a ceiling around 30% (or less), not (nearly) enough for a majority of delegates. Even if he took half of Warren's voters - 31% (25+6) won't cut the mustard.

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

6 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Morning Consult: Sanders (+1) 25%, Biden (-6) 22%, Bloomberg (+3) 17%, Buttigieg (+5) 11% (Original Post) denem Feb 2020 OP

GO BERNIE GO!!! Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #1

Biden & Warren's vote fell by 9% (6+3). Sanders picked up 1% denem Feb 2020 #2

You're making my point for me. Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #3

Nope. Biden lost 6% of prospective voters, denem Feb 2020 #4

Because it was split up Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #5

No. The point is that the not- socialist side of the party MontanaFarmer Feb 2020 #6

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

1. GO BERNIE GO!!!

Reply to denem (Original post)

Tue Feb 11, 2020, 11:53 AM

Feb 2020

As the moderate vote is split up 5 ways, the progressives remain united behind Bernie. Now if Biden drops out after Super Tuesday, that will leave the majority of his supporters likely supporting Bernie. It's a win-win for Bernie!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

denem

(11,045 posts)

2. Biden & Warren's vote fell by 9% (6+3). Sanders picked up 1%

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #1)

Tue Feb 11, 2020, 11:55 AM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

3. You're making my point for me.

Reply to denem (Reply #2)

Tue Feb 11, 2020, 11:56 AM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

denem

(11,045 posts)

4. Nope. Biden lost 6% of prospective voters,

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #3)

Tue Feb 11, 2020, 12:00 PM

Feb 2020

almost none went to Sanders.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

5. Because it was split up

Reply to denem (Reply #4)

Tue Feb 11, 2020, 12:01 PM

Feb 2020

among moderates. Like I indicated in my previous post.

Also 6% is not a majority of Biden supporters. Sorry.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

MontanaFarmer

(630 posts)

6. No. The point is that the not- socialist side of the party

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #3)

Tue Feb 11, 2020, 12:16 PM

Feb 2020

has a clear majority. Sanders will never get to a majority of pledged delegates pulling 30% of the vote. After super Tuesday, when that moderate side ultimately coalesces around Bloomberg, Biden, Klobuchar or buttigieg, one of them will become the frontrunner. There aren't enough voters on Bernie's side, just like there weren't last time.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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