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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

RandySF

(58,877 posts)
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:35 PM Feb 2020

New poll has Steyer leading Nevada Cauces.

Tom Steyer leads a tight race in the Nevada Democratic Caucus with a slim 2-point lead, according to a poll commissioned and conducted by Point Blank Political; however, the top five candidates are all within the poll’s 5.6 percent margin of error. Steyer, Klobuchar, Biden, Sanders and Buttigieg led the pack, while Warren and Gabbard were decidedly behind the leaders. Point Blank Political surveyed 256 likely Democratic caucus-goers from February 13th through February 15th. The survey results were weighted by race, gender, and age using a Random Iterative Model and the model’s weighting efficiency was 84 percent, resulting in an effective sample size of 215.

For more information, contact Hunter Lamirande: (407) 751-1900.


https://www.pointblankpolitical.com/nv-democratic-caucus-2020/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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New poll has Steyer leading Nevada Cauces. (Original Post) RandySF Feb 2020 OP
Getting errors for the link Cal Carpenter Feb 2020 #1
Worked for me a moment ago and then it didn't. RandySF Feb 2020 #4
I've never seen ANY poll with Steyer over 1% TheFarseer Feb 2020 #2
The poll is unbelievable DrToast Feb 2020 #6
Ralston doesn't believe it squirecam Feb 2020 #16
I've seen a lot kabelle Feb 2020 #10
The power of money empedocles Feb 2020 #3
Very unusual age breakdown DrToast Feb 2020 #5
Here it is DrToast Feb 2020 #8
No doubt that age breakdown reflects methodology, PoindexterOglethorpe Feb 2020 #9
I gather it was a poll for an Elder interest group and should be read as such. judeling Feb 2020 #12
He's kind of a weird spoiler. I don't think he's a bad guy, he means well, BusyBeingBest Feb 2020 #7
Looks like Bernie is targeting the wrong billionaire kabelle Feb 2020 #11
I don't want to speculate on the motivation squirecam Feb 2020 #13
I don't think its just money marlakay Feb 2020 #14
Ok but squirecam Feb 2020 #15
I agree with that because when I lived marlakay Feb 2020 #18
This DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2020 #17
 

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)
1. Getting errors for the link
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:40 PM
Feb 2020

Googled the company's website and getting errors on every page.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

RandySF

(58,877 posts)
4. Worked for me a moment ago and then it didn't.
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:42 PM
Feb 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

TheFarseer

(9,323 posts)
2. I've never seen ANY poll with Steyer over 1%
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:41 PM
Feb 2020

OK, not literally but still - this poll is a bit unbelievable.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

DrToast

(6,414 posts)
6. The poll is unbelievable
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:45 PM
Feb 2020

But other polls do show Steyer doing pretty well in Nevada. Not winning, but middle of the pack. He’s invested a lot of money in NV.

But regardless, I wouldn’t put too much stock in this poll.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

squirecam

(2,706 posts)
16. Ralston doesn't believe it
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 03:45 PM
Feb 2020

Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports
Excuse me, as Woody Allen once said, I have an appointment back on Planet Earth.


Political Polls
@PpollingNumbers
· 2h
#NEW #Nevada, Point Blank Political Poll:

Steyer 19%
Klobuchar 16%
Biden 14%
Sanders 13%
Buttigieg 13%
Warren 7%
https://pointblankpolitical.com/nv-democratic
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

kabelle

(34 posts)
10. I've seen a lot
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 02:07 PM
Feb 2020

They're easy to find.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

empedocles

(15,751 posts)
3. The power of money
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:42 PM
Feb 2020

Actually, money has been so evident since reaganhood and danceman Senator G. Murphy got themselves elected in California, - where geography made tv ads so important.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

DrToast

(6,414 posts)
5. Very unusual age breakdown
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:44 PM
Feb 2020

I saw this poll on Twitter and the age breakdown was kind of ridiculous.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,861 posts)
9. No doubt that age breakdown reflects methodology,
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 02:05 PM
Feb 2020

especially how the data was gathered.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

judeling

(1,086 posts)
12. I gather it was a poll for an Elder interest group and should be read as such.
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 02:10 PM
Feb 2020

Basically read it as a poll of older voters and merely include it in your thinking as such.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

BusyBeingBest

(8,054 posts)
7. He's kind of a weird spoiler. I don't think he's a bad guy, he means well,
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 01:49 PM
Feb 2020

but he's never held public office and that makes me consider him less viable, like Yang. His money doesn't bother me.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

kabelle

(34 posts)
11. Looks like Bernie is targeting the wrong billionaire
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 02:08 PM
Feb 2020

Steyer might win it nobody targets him.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

squirecam

(2,706 posts)
13. I don't want to speculate on the motivation
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 03:29 PM
Feb 2020

But Steyer needs more polling to qualify for the debate.

This could be why these weird poll results suddenly showed up. Because there was a month of no NV polling. And now this.


https://www.reviewjournal.com/news/politics-and-government/nevada/tom-steyer-says-he-should-qualify-for-democratic-debate-1958148/

Democratic presidential hopeful Tom Steyer has not qualified for the debate scheduled for Wednesday in Las Vegas, and he decried a lack of qualifying polls in Nevada and South Carolina, where he said his internal polls have him in second or third place.

“There’s not been a single poll in Nevada or South Carolina,” Steyer said in an interview with the Review-Journal. “And I believe I would qualify easily in both. Someone has to run a poll that counts. It’s very frustrating to think that we think we’re at a multiple of where we need to be, and no one’s run a poll. We think we’re in second or third (in both states).”

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

marlakay

(11,470 posts)
14. I don't think its just money
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 03:33 PM
Feb 2020

I saw him in the talk with latinos on FB with Pete, Bernie and I think Amy.

He was good, he talked about jobs in a way a successful businessman can and he is great on the environment and definitely said he was going to have a path to citizenship.

He might have money but he is very liberal.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

squirecam

(2,706 posts)
15. Ok but
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 03:38 PM
Feb 2020

There is no way Bernie dropped to 13%.

The RJ poll is certainly biased, and Ralston gave info as to why that pollster should be somewhat distrusted. But Steyer did not suddenly leapfrog BOTH Biden and Sanders.

This poll was, possibly, an effort to get Steyer into the NV debate. Since there is a lack of NV polling, Steyer can argue for the DNC to count this one.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

marlakay

(11,470 posts)
18. I agree with that because when I lived
Mon Feb 17, 2020, 06:06 PM
Feb 2020

In CA last election I did GOTV for Bernie in Reno, and I would bet he has more this time.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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