Why was Biden not even the third or fourth choice of the first two states? Do you think it's because Trump's Hunter attacks worked, or is it because of his often unsteady performance on the trail? Old and tired looking? Because lord knows it's not lack of familiarity or resume.

Of any of our older (Boomer/Silent) candidates. IE Unsteady.

I do think Iowa and NH are less of a litmus test. They don't represent the massive shift in population we are undergoing. Where the 'new Dominant Culture' is rising - is where candidates such as Biden, Steyer, Bloomberg and yes - even Klobuchar will shine.

We aren't monoliths - but I do think we are pragmatic and know nothing is going to happen with the snap of the fingers. So - practical and pragmatic candidates *I think - just my opinion* might do better outside of the narrow population states.

and their (mostly white folk) voting, I'm trying to pin down what it was that made him collapse like that, and what he can do to correct it besides simply relying more on African Americans and Hispanics. His appeal is pragmatic and practical, I agree--he's a known quantity and that is comforting and maybe he'll do better elsewhere, but we definitely need some White Dude Lunchbox votes, and I thought that would have appeared for him at least somewhat.

by their beards in Ohio, PA, MI and WI - maybe even in Florida. But - I've completely written off Texas and Florida for Electoral College votes. It's not the voters - it's the Governors in those states.

There's no way that little asshole in Florida isn't going to engage in shenanigans to keep black and brown votes from being counted.
Ditto the big asshole in Texas.

just disgusting.

of the Ukraine stuff, unfair and unlikely as that is.

damaged our best candidate to win the general....I didn't think it would, I stupidly thought that Dems would rally around him and NOT let that happen.

.. and neither of those states have many people of color.

Simple as that.

wanted the Scranton-boy working class Joe white guy image, because that's who the Dems have been losing. On edit--that's why Obama picked him, in large part. His strength with working class whites.

It's not a bad plan, considering POC make up 40% of the Democratic electorate.

We'll see if it pays off in SC.

He needs to pick it up with pretty much every other demo in order to win.

He’s gonna need white folks too.

Without a doubt.

...and then Biden's relative poor showing there and all the subsequent bad news about it impacted his performance in New Hampshire.

in Nevada phrase these facts as “SC is do or die and his AA support is eroding;” “he trails Bernie in
Nevada.” Two local online announcements of a BFD, Lt. Gov. Marshall’s endorsement, affixed photos of two other candidates to their stories, and in one case, also a story, about Amy, not Joe.

Definitely, a funereal tone pervades any news that, were it about any other candidate would be framed as their being highly competitive, on the verge of overtaking etc.

The language of decline and past failure (two tiny states) for one and success or surge for the rest.

Except for Warren whom MSM elevated for a time in the sun and then precipitously dropped like a hot potato, her name now alongside Biden’s in the kiss of death, do or die column.

What Williams points out that is crucial to anyone’s premature inaugural ball is that Trump has taken on no other candidate and no other held the lead for almost a year nationally and state by state and in toe to toe’s and was so miserably bashed and dismissed for doing so. God hated a winner then.

I think Joe will prove strong in Nevada and still, despite moneybags coming to town, prevail.

I hope he does better going forward.

When national polls showed Biden to be his clearest threat on the path to reelection. It was soon after that when Burisma reared its head.

The only other candidate I feel Trump and Republicans are worried about is Bloomberg.

Link to tweet

If does poorly, NV voters could abandon him.

I am not counting anyone out at this point. I remember 1992 voting in the NJ primary sometime in June for Paul Tsongas who was the front runner at the time. I don't think Clinton had even won one primary at that point.

But because the media jumped on it to declare his campaign dead in the water, it's in danger of becoming an unfair self-fulfilling prophecy.