Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum***BREAKING*** NBC-WSJ POLL--- Biden 52% -Trump 44% BIGGEST LEAD OF ALL
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/6779408/200085-NBCWSJ-February-Poll.pdf
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ffr
(22,671 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ffr
(22,671 posts)Right there with ya!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,524 posts)the last time I posted. lol
I've been hiding out in DP.. Good to see you ol friend!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MFM008
(19,818 posts)they focus on Biden the better he does in the polls.
I wouldnt count him out either.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,371 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,371 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
wisteria
(19,581 posts)Opportunists
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The only reason he's doing so well is that he's managed to avoid the spotlight.
People's favorable opinions of him are based on his Trump-trolling. Which, to be fair, he is doing a good job at.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)all the more for raising such high hopes. But as a Biden supporter, I fear time is not our friend.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bdamomma
(63,918 posts)seems to only be putting commercials and spreading his billions all over the place.
Let's not forget we are in this mess because some people thought a business man would clean things up, that didn't serve true did it?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Qutzupalotl
(14,322 posts)to overcome shenanigans such as purging voters, closing locations, etc. And the EC is rigged against us.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Polls like this are blended into the mix. That's fine. There are always outliers. But an 8 point lead over an incumbent does not represent the United States of America in 2020.
I posted the same thing repeatedly in fall 2018 when some polls were insisting 6 or 8 point leads for Gillum and Nelson. I remember one thread in particular, titled something like, "Why are we doing so well in Florida?" I replied. "We're not."
Bet on politics for 28 years and very quickly it is obvious which polls are outright garbage. I'm sure I'll be laughing at some of the Alaska polls later this year. As always, that state is the worst polled state in the nation. We had a thread here recently mentioning that a Democrat hadn't been competitive in South Carolina in forever. Okay, then why weren't the rest of you laughing at Rachel Maddow in early fall 2016 when she was grinning ear to ear while waving a fresh South Carolina poll and exclaiming, "If Hillary only trails Donald Trump by 4 points in South Carolina you can just imagine what is going on in all of those swing states."
If Donald Trump's approval rating remains where it is right now, we can win a close race. That approval rating is far more significant than who we nominate, with the possible exception of Sanders. A socialist changes the dynamic in so many ways it's not nearly as simple to forecast.
I like to eliminate names. An older nominee who has sought the election multiple times previously and never come close, that is not my ideal blueprint. The reasons for prior failures tend to show up late. It's like relying on a quarterback who has previously been a long term backup.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
world wide wally
(21,754 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lillypaddle
(9,581 posts)Go go go go go go go!
He needs your endorsement, Mr. President. The sooner the better. (where are the praying hands????)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Turin_C3PO
(14,033 posts)Obama will get involved until their is a clear winner.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lillypaddle
(9,581 posts)we canNOT have BS, and Bloomberg is using President Obama to suit his needs. It's time for the President to weigh in, IMHO.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bdamomma
(63,918 posts)President Obama in his commercials, like we are that gullible to give him the thumbs up?
We will see at the debate tomorrow night.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Dem2theMax
(9,653 posts)Someone else please do the honors of posting some of the article.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)am not convinced Obama expressed this sentiment to an unnamed Democrat close to him. But typical MSM job on Bidendismiss entirely or bash or use the word fading.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hekate
(90,773 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Turin_C3PO
(14,033 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem2theMax
(9,653 posts)I haven't taken my eyes off of him for one second.
Joe all the way!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vivienne235729
(3,384 posts)To rule him out so quickly was mind boggling.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem2
(8,168 posts)over the rest of the Democrats.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)margin of error. Not a significant difference.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
I see Joe +8, Bernie +4.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)...significantly higher. That's how these things work.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,371 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(92,371 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BlueIdaho
(13,582 posts)I have one and only one issue in 2020 - Beating Donald Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Kurt V.
(5,624 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
jg10003
(976 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Last edited Tue Feb 18, 2020, 09:59 PM - Edit history (1)
It's also a collaborative effort between a Democratic pollster and a Republican pollster, presumably to keep the other honest.
Thanks for bumping my thread though.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
jg10003
(976 posts)According to 538; B-, R+1.5, no cell phones.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)The NBC News/WSJ poll was conducted Feb. 14-17 of 900 registered voters more than half of whom were reached by cellphone and its overall margin of error is plus-minus 3.3 percentage points.
The margin of error for the 426 Democratic primary voters the poll measured is plus-minus 4.8 percentage point
According to 538 , A/B Rated Democrat + 0.8 LIVE CALLER WITH CELL PHONES.
*Hart Research- https://hartresearch.com/
All claims documented
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DIVINEprividence
(443 posts)Best news I have heard in a while
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TruckFump
(5,812 posts)...but the revenge tactics are not sitting well with anyone but his deluded base.
Vindman was especially offensive, IMO.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Zolorp
(1,115 posts)Biden would CRUSH Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ashredux
(2,608 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RandySF
(59,158 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OverBurn
(956 posts)Most every poll said Hillary would win. All these new polls do is make me nervous. I honestly can't wrap my head around anyone but the orange baboon winning.
14,000+ lies
Impeachment
Numberist more impeachable offences
Half his "guys" are already in jail for doing crimes for him
Throws CIA, FBI, etc under bus Praises Putin
Insults real Heros, almost daily
Deficit spiralling out of control
Health insurance being taken away from millions
SS cuts
Medicaid cuts
USA hated around the world
All these things doesn't even move the needle of his cult following. All intelligent reasoning is gone.
Our entire democracy is failing right before our eyes.
Change my mind, somebody, please.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)I'm not buying that Trump has a 47% approval.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)Here's are the latter's clients:
LABOR UNIONS
Actors Equity Association
AFL-CIO
AFSCME
Air Line Pilots Association (ALPA)
American Federation of Teachers (AFT)
California Teachers Association (CTA)
Communications Workers of America
International Union of Operating Engineers (IUOE)
LiUNA!
NFL Players Association (NFLPA)
New York State United Teachers (NYSUT)
Service Employees International Union (SEIU)
Transport Workers Union of America (TWU)
United Auto Workers (UAW)
United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW)
United Federation of Teachers (UFT)
UNITE
Working America
ADVOCACY GROUPS
California Latino Leadership Caucus PAC
Democratic Attorneys General Association
Democratic Governors Association
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
EMILYs List
House Majority PAC
Indiana House Democratic Caucus
Kentucky House Democratic Caucus
NextGen Climate Action
Ohio Democratic Party
Priorities USA
Senate Majority PAC
Virginia Senate Democratic Caucus
US SENATORS
Robert Byrd (WV)
Ben Cardin (MD)
Bob Casey, Jr. (PA)
Kent Conrad (ND)
Byron Dorgan (ND)
Dick Durbin (IL)
Dianne Feinstein (CA)
Mazie Hirono (HI)
Patrick Leahy (VT)
Barbara Mikulski (MD)
Bernie Sanders (VT)
Chuck Schumer (NY)
Mark Warner (VA)
US HOUSE MEMBERS
Don Beyer (VA-8)
Lois Capps (CA-23)
Jim Cooper (TN-5)
John Delaney (MD-6)
Debbie Dingell (MI-16)
John Dingell (MI-12)
Brad Ellsworth (IN-8)
Baron Hill (IN-9)
Rush Holt (NJ-12)
Mike Honda (CA-15)
Ted Lieu (CA-33)
Doris Matsui (CA-5)
David Obey (WI-7)
Bill Pascrell, Jr. (NJ-8)
John Spratt (SC-5)
David Price (NC-4)
Chris Van Hollen (MD-8)
Frank Kratovil (MD-1)
John Lewis (GA-5)
Bonnie Watson Coleman (NJ-12)
Henry Waxman (CA-33)
GOVERNORS
Steve Beshear (KY)
Mike Easley (NC)
Phil Bredesen (TN)
Joe Kernan (IN)
Bev Perdue (NC)
Brad Henry (OK)
Jim Hodges (SC)
Frank OBannon (IN)
Martin OMalley (MD)
Alejandro García Padilla (PR)
Terry McAuliffe (VA)
Mark Warner (VA)
MAYORS
Tom Barrett (Milwaukee)
Muriel Bowser (DC)
Karl Dean (Nashville)
Steve Fulop (Jersey City)
Eric Garcetti (Los Angeles)
Tom Henry (Fort Wayne, IN)
Tom McDermott, Jr. (Hammond, IN)
Jon Mitchell (New Bedford, MA)
Michael Nutter (Philadelphia)
Stephanie Rawlings-Blake (Baltimore)
Joe Riley (Charleston, SC)
Francis Slay (St. Louis)
OTHER STATEWIDE OFFICES
Robin Carnahan (MO Secretary of State)
Catherine Cortez-Masto (NV Attorney General)
Kevin deLeon (CA Senate President)
Adam Edelen (KY State Auditor)
Brian Frosh (MD Attorney General)
Bill Galvin (MA Secretary of State)
George Jepsen (CT Attorney General)
Clint Zweifel (MO State Treasurer)
Oliver, thanks for bumping my thread.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LeftTurn3623
(628 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
wisteria
(19,581 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Stargleamer
(1,990 posts)his lead in individual battleground states, like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan (and Arizona??). These national polls are skewered by the anti-Trump sentiment in Calif., where 12% of the population live
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Buzz cook
(2,474 posts)Joe is doing well in the national polls. Now Bloomberg is taking the wind out of Joe's sails in Nevada and South Carolina. Sanders is leading in some polls by 12%.
Joe can't beat Trump if he can't win a primary.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)Completely agree with the OP. Biden is still the only one with a chance of winning in November and a slim one at that. Good luck to the others but that's just how it is.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(145,489 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden