So the race was decided before even 20% of precincts report?

More numbers will come in. But my hat's off to Sanders for bringing so many new voters into the Democratic Party.

sunny day. I come back and see that a minute number of precincts have reported and there are victory parades already.

I don't understand how a winner can be declared with such a small tally. Are we into some kind of new math that I missed in college or something?



So they atop counting before half the votes are counted?

Witness W in 2000 and 2004 and Trump in 2016.

Let's get real: exit polling has been the basic tool to detect election fraud in the world. However, exit polls fail in one particular scenario: Republicans in the USA.

Gee, I wonder why.....?

I don't know how representative of the overall state those 11% reporting precincts are. But statistically he's almost certainly gonna clear 40% in the final count. That's a solid win.

The nun Sanders voting gonna continue to be split four ways until March 3rd. That still leaves plenty of delegates to be awarded among the narrowed field. Yall all need to trust the process.

I don't trust guessing games when the stakes are so high. I am waiting to see who wins March 3. But I think something smells funky about this one too.

I don't know if they should base predictions just on exit polls, not with only 4-12% in.

That doesn't make sense to me.

methodological error. I'm renewing my passport.

It happens in many elections and stands up 99.999% of the time.

Of course, it's clear that this call was not in error. Sanders was expected to win NV. He did. No shock, and it was a safe call when it was made, but you are right. The call was made way before the votes had really been counted in any substantial way.

Notice that nobody has called 2nd, 3rd, or 4th place. We'll need a lot more votes counted before anybody will be willing to declare the final standings and delegate counts in this caucus.

-Laelth

It ended hours ago, but they can't get the numbers moving.

there's something wrong with this.

I'm posting this at 9:13. Let's see how long it takes me to find an answer

It only took me until 9:15 because I stopped to read what it said on the Wikipedia page

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nevada_caucuses

Still, I feel like we were tricked into doing someone else's homework

"12m ago
22:15
Now we have 22% of precincts reporting. Not much has changed.

Sanders – 47%
Biden – 23%
Buttigieg – 13%
Warren – 9%
Steyer – 4%
Klobuchar – 3%"

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2020/feb/22/nevada-caucuses-live-updates-democrats-2020