great minds.

to do it BIGTIME in SC.

This OP won't age well.

Lol, no.

Because well-off candidates can outlast others, of course.

For SC, it makes zero sense. What a candidate has right now isn't going to influence anyone unless one of the candidates grabs a bullhorn and tells everyone they're broke live on CNN right before voting starts. Maybe not even then.

I'm kind of amazed that they felt that this was legitimate enough to publish.

But I'm so not expecting that. I rather like surprises though, we'll know soon enough

I am kind of expecting his lead to be a little less after Super Tuesday but hoping for it to be better than I expect.

but it'd be cool if it's true!

If that's really their model, I would have been embarrassed to publish this.

And my experience with computers began back in 1984 with a Commodore 64. Most my age would be functioning at the basic level.

I don't know if older African American church ladies are that into twitter.

I could be wrong... nah. This new "model" is ethered.

I do not trust ANY of the numbers I have seen on South Carolina. Not the pro-Bernie OR the pro-Biden numbers. My College Social Statistics course taught me to be skeptical about the validity of any one study or poll. The proof will be in the pudding on Saturday.

I am going on a gut instinct rather than polls. My feeling is that Biden will win South Carolina and Bernie will come in as a pretty strong second. If Joe comes out of that Primary with a big lead, it will energize his campaign. Then I think that it will be a battle on Super Tuesday between Biden and Sanders.

The only wild card there is Bloomberg, who might siphon votes off of Biden and benefit Bernie. In either case, I am fine though. Both Bernie and Biden are in my top three, and I will fight for whoever gets the Democratic nomination.

It's so rare to hear anyone around here apply what they learned in college to what's going on in the electoral process.

As a teacher in higher education, many of the courses we teach have the goal of preparing students to be citizens with critical thinking skills. This would be so they don't fall for candidates like Trump.

Such courses are mass communication, digital communication, public speaking, interpersonal communication, sociology, and psychology. There are others, too, such as philosophy of science. Most of the posts I see here make me question whether we teachers are doing the job or possibly that the people posting here weren't taught this, i.e., maybe they attained their degrees long ago, before we had such standards. After all, curriculum does change. It wasn't that long ago that we introduced next gen science standards (2013).

So when you said this: My College Social Statistics course taught me to be skeptical about the validity of any one study or poll, it was gratifying.

Thanks for that comment, and thank you for being a teacher.

I know that Bloomberg is not in South Carolina. When I said he was a wild card, I meant in Super Tuesday. So, Biden will probably do well in South Carolina, Bernie second. Then Super Tuesday will likely be a battle between Bernie and Biden. Bloomberg will be the wild card on Super Tuesday since he is on the ballot in those states. That is what I meant.

It'll be interesting to see if his polling holds or if the debates and media attention on his past will reverse the trend. Hard to tell at this point.

If Bernie does win, I think we can all agree it's over for Joe. Though I do wishim the best of luck and ALL the candidates luck as well!! May the best candidate win!!


Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

And had Sanders at 22 and he finished with 24, so pretty close.

You might want to rethink your opinion of the model.

https://gspm.gwu.edu/sites/g/files/zaxdzs2286/f/downloads/PEORIA_PredictionModel_IA.pdf

"The Republicans wanted to run against McGovern. Look who they're running against"

Hope history doesn't repeat itself...

Sid

Only way Bernie wins South Carolina is if Trump trolls vote for him.

They got their billionaires confused.

Will revisit after Biden wins SC.

ONLY!!! 2020 and beyond.

If he manages to come in 2nd whilst his name is Not even on the ballot

They got their billionaires confused.

...

...looking good into Super Tuesday...

...looks like Bernie's going to kick-ass...

...I don't care what people say, Bernie's the incarnation of FDR...

...and we sure do need another FDR...

Nt

No one should have taken it seriously in the first place. Any port in a storm, I guess.

LOL!!

Tell your kids not to go to that school!

They're delusional from drinking too much Bernaid.

Link to tweet

Not a very good prediction model, was it?

There should be enough egg on their faces this morning to make a nice brunch.