*NEW* OH Predictive Insights (B/C Rated) Poll - Arizona: Biden 45%, Sanders 17%, Warren 13%, MB 12%

March 3-4

PHOENIX (March 9th, 2020) –Joe Biden holds a large lead over Bernie Sanders in the state as Democratic voters consolidate around the former vice president, crushing the Vermont senator by nearly 30 percentage points.

The Arizona Public Opinion Poll (AZPOP) is a statewide survey that was conducted on March 3rd and 4th, with a sample of 398 respondents identified as Democratic Presidential Primary likely voters. The medium utilized was a blended phone survey yielding a +/-4.91% MOE.

Nearly one-half of likely voters (45 percent) prefer Biden with just 17 percent supporting Sanders.

“Biden has a 24-point lead over his nearest opponent among those who have already cast their ballot in this election,” said Mike Noble, Chief of Research and Managing Partner of Phoenix-based public opinion and market research company OH Predictive Insights. “Bernie Sanders’ visit to the Grand Canyon State last week won’t be enough to dig him out of the Grand Canyon-sized hole he finds himself in just before the March 17 preference election.”

Bucking a trend seen in other states’ Democratic primaries thus far in the cycle, Joe Biden is leading Bernie Sanders among all ethnicities. In other states like Nevada, Sanders beat Biden among Hispanics and the two have roughly split white voters. In this poll, however, Biden is beating Sanders among whites by 25%, among non-white and non-Hispanic voters by 28%, and among Hispanics by more than 30%.

Another key factor to keep in mind when looking at Arizona’s Democratic primary is the considerable number of voters who mail-in early ballots. In fact, 2 out of 5 voters have already cast their votes. However, this means that almost 60% of the electorate has either held off mailing in their ballots or who are waiting to vote on election day and can still change their minds on which candidate they will support and will be key targets for the Biden and Sanders campaigns.



https://ohpredictiveinsights.cmail20.com/t/ViewEmail/i/441A4BBC8D65864C2540EF23F30FEDED/BD86063377B5C14A16FB8100885F948E