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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

tgards79

(1,415 posts)
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 07:34 PM Mar 2020

Final BTRTN predictions for March 10 primaries

Here are their final...Biden sweep, lively read:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/03/btrtn-march-10-primaries-previews-is.html

"We begin with Not-Quite-Super-Tuesday, tomorrow, with six primaries. A total of 352 pledged delegates are at stake, with Michigan (125) the largest prize, followed by Washington (89), Missouri (68), Mississippi (36) and Idaho (20), North Dakota (14).

Biden heads into the March 10 primaries with 664 delegates to 573 for Sanders. (There still remain about 100 delegates that have yet to be allocated from Super Tuesday, largely from California.) This is hardly an insurmountable lead, but, based on the results to date, the rest of the primary season appears to favor Biden. Biden has dominated in south and southwestern states and should do well in the Mid-Atlantic states near his Delaware home. Thus, Biden-land includes large states such as Florida (219), Georgia (105), Pennsylvania (186), New Jersey (126) and Maryland (96). Sanders’ strength is in the west, where no such large state primaries remain, Arizona being the largest with 67 delegates. Biden has proven his ability to hold his own in New England, having already won in Massachusetts and Maine."


"It seems clear Biden will win Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi. The fate of the western states is far less clear. At this juncture, we think the momentum is in Biden’s favor, and therefore are calling a sweep. But, as you can see, in very close races it hardly matters who wins or loses, since the delegates are allocated proportionately. Close wins do not close large gaps, and thus Biden’s large wins in Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi will carry the day."

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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