Democratic Primaries

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts) Mon Apr 15, 2019, 10:00 AM Apr 2019

April National Poll: Bernie Takes Lead for Democratic Nomination, Mayor Pete On The Move

A new national Emerson poll, including 20 Democratic candidates for President, found Senator Bernie Sanders ahead of the pack with 29%, followed by former Vice President Joe Biden at 24%.

They were followed by Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 9%, former Rep. Beto O’Rourke and Senator Kamala Harris at 8%, and Senator Elizabeth Warren at 7%. Entrepreneur Andrew Yang and former HUD secretary Julian Castro were at 3%. The poll was conducted April 11-14 of Democratic Primary voters with a subset of n=356, +/- 5.2%.

Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling, said “while still early in the nominating process, it looks like Mayor Pete is the candidate capturing voters’ imagination; the numbers had him at 0% in mid-February, 3% in March and now at 9% in April.”

Kimball also noted that “Biden has seen his support drop. In February, he led Sanders 27% to 17%, and in March the two were tied at 26%. Now, Sanders has a 5 point lead, 29% to 24%.”

If Joe Biden decides not to run, Bernie Sanders looks to be the early beneficiary, picking up 31% of Bidens’ voters. Mayor Pete Buttigieg gets 17% of the Biden vote, followed by Beto O’Rourke at 13%.

Link to tweet

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/april-national-poll-bernie-takes-lead-for-democratic-nomination-mayor-pete-on-the-move

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

20 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

April National Poll: Bernie Takes Lead for Democratic Nomination, Mayor Pete On The Move (Original Post) workinclasszero Apr 2019 OP

yayyy Tiggeroshii Apr 2019 #1

People power! workinclasszero Apr 2019 #11

This part right here is great news for Bernie.... workinclasszero Apr 2019 #20

Good but remember national polls are somewhat meaningless in a state by state election. Agschmid Apr 2019 #2

Name recognition poll BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #3

No, not merely name recognition. thesquanderer Apr 2019 #5

Sanders' support comes from devotees BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #8

Wouldn't that be where every candidates support comes from...devotees? n/t TCJ70 Apr 2019 #12

No. nt BlueFlorida Apr 2019 #16

It should be. Go Vols Apr 2019 #19

If Biden is going to announce... thesquanderer Apr 2019 #4

I hear DownriverDem Apr 2019 #7

I keep forgetting that he hasn't Politicub Apr 2019 #13

Being that Mayor Pete didn't announce until yesterday, it's a bit disingenuous to question someone SFnomad Apr 2019 #18

Winning the Electoral College DownriverDem Apr 2019 #6

How is Andrew Yang at 3%? BlueStater Apr 2019 #9

That same poll says that Biden would beat trump by 6%, double Sanders' margin (53-47 vs. 51-48) George II Apr 2019 #10

Beating him by the popular vote is not the priority Tiggeroshii Apr 2019 #14

Interesting. In this national poll only 2% want "someone else." rgbecker Apr 2019 #15

It is interesting workinclasszero Apr 2019 #17

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

1. yayyy

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:00 AM

Apr 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

11. People power!

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #1)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 01:49 PM

Apr 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

20. This part right here is great news for Bernie....

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #1)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 06:23 PM

Apr 2019

If Joe Biden decides not to run, Bernie Sanders looks to be the early beneficiary, picking up 31% of Bidens’ voters

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Agschmid

(28,749 posts)

2. Good but remember national polls are somewhat meaningless in a state by state election.

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:02 AM

Apr 2019

They may indicate a trend, but it’s tough to get into the details.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BlueFlorida

(1,532 posts)

3. Name recognition poll

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:04 AM

Apr 2019

entirely worthless.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

thesquanderer

(11,989 posts)

5. No, not merely name recognition.

Reply to BlueFlorida (Reply #3)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:10 AM

Apr 2019

It says,

“Biden has seen his support drop. In February, he led Sanders 27% to 17%, and in March the two were tied at 26%. Now, Sanders has a 5 point lead, 29% to 24%.”

Do you really think Biden and Sanders' name recognition changed that much since February? They were both already very well known two months ago.

Buttigieg at 9% is pretty impressive, considering in his case, his name recognition is indeed far lower than the top two.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BlueFlorida

(1,532 posts)

8. Sanders' support comes from devotees

Reply to thesquanderer (Reply #5)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:14 AM

Apr 2019

and has remained withing the MOE.

Other candidates have eroded into Biden's support and that can fluctuate until he announces.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TCJ70

(4,387 posts)

12. Wouldn't that be where every candidates support comes from...devotees? n/t

Reply to BlueFlorida (Reply #8)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 01:51 PM

Apr 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BlueFlorida

(1,532 posts)

16. No. nt

Reply to TCJ70 (Reply #12)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 03:30 PM

Apr 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Go Vols

(5,902 posts)

19. It should be.

Reply to TCJ70 (Reply #12)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 04:14 PM

Apr 2019

dark money and stuff ...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

thesquanderer

(11,989 posts)

4. If Biden is going to announce...

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:06 AM

Apr 2019

...he might not want to wait too much longer.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

DownriverDem

(6,228 posts)

7. I hear

Reply to thesquanderer (Reply #4)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:14 AM

Apr 2019

it will be very soon. trump doesn't want to run against Biden. trump needs Pennsylvania to win. Biden can win his home state of Pennsylvania. Winning the electoral college is all that matters.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Politicub

(12,165 posts)

13. I keep forgetting that he hasn't

Reply to thesquanderer (Reply #4)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 01:53 PM

Apr 2019

Not sure what he is waiting on at this point.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

SFnomad

(3,473 posts)

18. Being that Mayor Pete didn't announce until yesterday, it's a bit disingenuous to question someone

Reply to Politicub (Reply #13)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 03:48 PM

Apr 2019

who hasn't yet announced today.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

DownriverDem

(6,228 posts)

6. Winning the Electoral College

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:12 AM

Apr 2019

is all that matters. The country is not far left and folks are naive to think so. The Democratic Party has excellent candidates. They are true Dems.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BlueStater

(7,596 posts)

9. How is Andrew Yang at 3%?

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:17 AM

Apr 2019

How do people even know who he is?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

George II

(67,782 posts)

10. That same poll says that Biden would beat trump by 6%, double Sanders' margin (53-47 vs. 51-48)

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 11:53 AM

Apr 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

14. Beating him by the popular vote is not the priority

Reply to George II (Reply #10)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 02:23 PM

Apr 2019

Winning MI, WI and PA are. They both seem to be doing well in that category, which is encouraging.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

rgbecker

(4,831 posts)

15. Interesting. In this national poll only 2% want "someone else."

Reply to workinclasszero (Original post)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 02:41 PM

Apr 2019

On the DU 44 are still looking around.

Are the articulate, politically educated members of DU really just going wait to see who the Media picks before supporting one of the 20?

You know you can change your pick as things develop don't you? On this DU forum the pick is simply "if you voted today". Ask yourself: If I had to choose and go to vote today who would I pick? Undecided??!! Really? None of the 20 stand out?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)

17. It is interesting

Reply to rgbecker (Reply #15)

Mon Apr 15, 2019, 03:40 PM

Apr 2019

It also shows a huge disconnect between DU and the real world

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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