Red board players love to mock the betting sites if a favorite doesn't cash. Somehow they fail to recognize that a favorite is not always supposed to cash. For example, the favorites in this market right now are in the low 20s, which theoretically means 1 chance in 5. Hillary was the favorite but always modest, and in the 65-72% range in the closing days. That is a very minor favorite but people who don't speculate have no clue about that and somehow assign anything above 55 or 60 as a certainty. The betting sites didn't get it wrong nearly to the extent of Sam Wang and his 99% absurdity.

Market sites don't always get it right but they would absolutely crush the opinions of isolated individuals. For example, based on posts here the odds of a Democrat winning Texas in 2020 would be ridiculously favorable. The market sites would know to laugh at that. Fundamentals rule. Another example: Bredesen was always the betting underdog in Tennessee despite leading the polling for a long stretch. Day-to-day detail types wouldn't understand how that could be possible but it was a big yawn on sites like Predictit

I always keep an eye on them because of him.

Pension,401k,ect. funds bet your money for you, and yield 9% at best.Betting on my own yielded 27% during 2/18-2/19.

His graph has been steady at just above 20 cents, with minor normal fluctuation. I play there and it doesn't take a heck of a lot to move a number, certainly not the dollar amounts I am accustomed to in sports betting.

Here is Sanders' graph, if it links correctly. Might have to scroll down slightly:

https://www.predictit.org/legacy/Contract/7725/Will-Bernie-Sanders-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination#data

TX, CA, AL, TN, NC, VA, and no more caucus in MN...yikes!

With the field we have, even MA and OK may not go well for him. But there's always VT.

Other states to vote in March: LA, MI, MO, MS, OH, CO, AZ, FL, IL. Yikes again.

...it's entirely possible that Vermont is the only state he'll win.

In first place. Also Gabbard is moving up my list rapidly due to her foreign policy views.

I'd be undecided but I list Sanders so I can join the Sanders forum whenever it opens.