Bernie Sanders Is the Most Popular 2020 Candidate Among Hispanic Voters, New Polling Finds

https://theintercept.com/2019/04/06/bernie-sanders-latino-hispanic-voters/

Just six states hold about 71 percent of eligible Hispanic voters, including 7.7 million who live in California, 5.4 million who live in Texas, and 3 million in Florida, all of which are early primary states. Hispanic people overall are on track to account for more than 13 percent of eligible voters — slightly more than the share of black voters, according to a report from the Pew Research Center. In the 2018 midterms, about 43.5 percent of all Hispanic eligible voters were 18 to 35 years old, compared with 30.6 percent of all eligible voters.

Super Tuesday, which will fall on March 3, 2020, will include California and Texas, two delegate-rich states that also happen to have the largest Latinx populations in the country. (As recently as 2016, California held its presidential primary in June.) Then on March 17, Democratic candidates will face sizable Hispanic populations in Arizona, Florida, and Illinois. In Nevada, where roughly 28 percent of its population is Hispanic, will hold its caucus in late February, will expand in-person early voting to four days next year.

After Biden, former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke, who speaks fluent Spanish, comes in third place at 13 percent among Hispanic voters. Sen. Kamala Harris comes in fourth place at 8 percent, then Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 7 percent. Meanwhile, Julián Castro, the only Latino in the Democratic primary race, comes in at 4 percent. Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand and Amy Klobuchar, and Pete Buttigieg, mayor of South Bend, Indiana, are all under 3 percent. The Morning Consult survey was conducted between March 25 and 31, with a sample size of 1,515 Hispanic voters.

The latest Economist/YouGov poll also found Sanders leading among Hispanic voters, with 56 percent saying that they are considering voting for him in the primary or caucus in their state. Forty-two percent said they are considering voting for Biden, 35 percent for O’Rourke, 29 percent for Harris, and 23 percent for Warren.