Excellent poll out today... II/Tipp, Biden +3 head to head, TIED in 5-way... [View all]
Slow and steady improvement for Biden over the last few weeks...
National polling isn't very instructive... but it's good for observing trends.
https://issuesinsights.com/2024/04/08/independents-third-party-candidates-loom-as-election-deciders-in-2024-ii-tipp-poll/
If no other candidates appear on the ballot, the results show Biden 43%, Trump 40%. With the margin of error, its basically a dead heat. Significantly, however, 9% responded other, while 9% answered not sure, for 18% of the total vote.
But the fact is, Trump and Biden are not opposing against one another in a vacuum. I&I/TIPP asks a second question about voters presidential preferences, this one adding in the three major third-party and independent challengers who are also running: Independent author, activist and lawyer Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., independent former Harvard University professor Cornell R. West, and Green Party standard-bearer Jill Stein.
When those others are added, the numbers change, Biden takes a hit. With the non-Democratic, non-GOP challengers running, Biden and Trump are dead even at 38% each, with Kennedy taking 11%, West 2%, and Stein 1%. Other in this case falls to just 2%, while not sure remains at 9%.