2016 Postmortem

I QUESTION today's Gallup Poll (10/18/12) election forecast. I had concerns about the impartiality of Gallup several months back when I was part of a private meeting with the CEO of this leading polling organization when he came to speak in Denver. It comes as no surprise to me that Gallup is out front in forecasting Mitt Romney is leading the 2012 race. A wider check of opinion gives a very different result:

Those giving it to Romney:
Gallup: 52% Romney, Obama 45% (margin of error 4%)
Rasmussen Reports: 49% Romney, Obama 47%

Real Clear Politics: Electoral Votes 201 Obama, 206 Romney (131 Tossup)

Those giving it to Obama:
Washington Post: Electoral Votes 235 Obama, 206 Romney (77 Tossup)
New York Times: Electoral Votes 237 Obama, 191 Romney (110 Tossup)
Huffington Post: Electoral Votes 267 Obama, 206 Romney (65 Tossup)
Reuters: Electoral Votes - 269 Obama, 191 Romney (131 Tossup)
Five Thirty Eight Forecast: Electoral Votes 287 Obama, 251 Romney

Reuters is no light weight business news organization!