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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: My Letter to Nate Silver on the Huge Exit Poll Discrepancies We’re Seeing in the Dem Primaries [View all]SalviaBlue
(2,921 posts)23. No, he's much too important.
Why the hell not? Nate is highly educated. He can probably handle more than the average message board reader. I read the whole thing and I don't even have a college degree.
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My Letter to Nate Silver on the Huge Exit Poll Discrepancies We’re Seeing in the Dem Primaries [View all]
Time for change
Apr 2016
OP
Part of the answer for why the exits have been off sometimes is in your answer....
Adrahil
Apr 2016
#18
Exit polls are, to coin a term I heard somewhere, "the gold standard" for determining election fraud
Kip Humphrey
Apr 2016
#101
BUll S**T! Exit Polling Selects Pollees Randomly So "Enthusiasm" Is Factored Out!
CorporatistNation
Apr 2016
#106
You do those samples the same way you do pre-election polling: by telephone
Time for change
Apr 2016
#29
Seems like using information from the voter registration numbers: phone exchange areas, and
DhhD
Apr 2016
#119
Never take that for granted. Some people post things seriously that are just as looney
pdsimdars
Apr 2016
#84
Hillary is and has been the presumptive nominee since the primary season opened
Time for change
Apr 2016
#31
It appears that Edison used a consistent methodology that proved consistently wrong
Onlooker
Apr 2016
#17
The exit polls in the OP are final exit polls, not first or second wave
Time for change
Apr 2016
#34
CNN only shows us exit polls that are "adjusted" to fit the official vote count
Time for change
Apr 2016
#46
Exit polls aren't as accurate as you think they are. They are more self-selected.
pnwmom
Apr 2016
#25
Nate Silver 2008: Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls - from Mark Bluemthnal
factfinder_77
Apr 2016
#27
Yes, all of our national "news" media tries to get us to ignore exit polls
Time for change
Apr 2016
#42
Silly lefties. Unicorns, rainbows and fair elections are just blue sky pipe dreams.
Scuba
Apr 2016
#41
Yeah, it's really crazy to think that someone in this country would try to steal an election
Time for change
Apr 2016
#48
There's zero evidence that it was "done on her behalf." It's the exact same amount of evidence that
YouDig
Apr 2016
#66
This is a stunning piece of work and I thank you for compiling it and sharing it with us
Samantha
Apr 2016
#79
I suppose exit polls wouldn't matter if Bernie was ahead in delegate count?
leftofcool
Apr 2016
#129
That's exactly what the Republicans said about the united party that was the Democrats
CoffeeCat
Apr 2016
#51
Actually, the large exit poll discrepancy in Ohio led to numerous investigations
Time for change
Apr 2016
#69
Why are you assuming exit polls are the epitome or standard of accuracy and are infallible?
LonePirate
Apr 2016
#55
You are suggesting that exit polls are the true election barometer and not the actual results
LonePirate
Apr 2016
#75
I am suggesting that they very well could be much more accurate than the official vote counts
Time for change
Apr 2016
#77
You shouyld inform, among others, the US Department of state of this fact
nadinbrzezinski
Apr 2016
#70
I am serious in the sense that the US Department of State uses them as a gold standard
nadinbrzezinski
Apr 2016
#78
I hope you are wrong, but afraid you may be on to something. K and R!
Admiral Loinpresser
Apr 2016
#82
Nice. You should send this to all publications everywhere, and all elected officials.
cui bono
Apr 2016
#85
How should I have said it.. "entirely accurate" "completely accurate" "fully accurate"?
DCBob
Apr 2016
#114
Any informed person knows that election fraud is rampant in this country
Time for change
Apr 2016
#118
CNN routinely "adjusts their poll numbers" after the votes have been counted to fit the
Time for change
Apr 2016
#130