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2016 Postmortem

courseofhistory

(801 posts) Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:38 PM Nov 2012

8

Nate Silver Obama 92.2% Chance of winning [View all]

315.3 EV

Onward and upward!

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

15 replies

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Nate Silver Obama 92.2% Chance of winning [View all] courseofhistory Nov 2012 OP

Several swing states ticked up MSMITH33156 Nov 2012 #1

I love the bonus updates Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #2

He's not even listing Ohio as a battleground anymore. BlueDemKev Nov 2012 #3

Nope. Ohio is a "Safe Obama" Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #5

Probably by the number of polls that come out. CthulhusEvilCousin Nov 2012 #6

Even if those polls are within the margin of error? BlueDemKev Nov 2012 #7

That's a good question CthulhusEvilCousin Nov 2012 #14

He explains this somewhere on his site MSMITH33156 Nov 2012 #9

As an educated guess? It's time-based aletier_v Nov 2012 #10

I think at this point, any poll MSMITH33156 Nov 2012 #4

UNREAL! budkin Nov 2012 #8

Dude is going all in. timlot Nov 2012 #11

I thought the same thing. He is going all in on his prediction. zebe83 Nov 2012 #12

Nate is going straight to evangelical Christian Hell for that prediction. yellowcanine Nov 2012 #13

The creeps on the Right CthulhusEvilCousin Nov 2012 #15

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