2016 Postmortem
Showing Original Post only (View all)Polls are lagging indicators. Better to follow the betting markets. [View all]
Rightly or wrongly and I believe wrongly but my opinion is irrelevant to the matter , the opinions of what the voters say is what ultimately matters, Hillary took a hit in the polls over her health scare and Deplorables comment. However now she is coming back.
Most of the scary polls were taken from last Friday to Wednesday which was Hillary's nadir. She will now start moving up in the polls again as she gets credit for working through her illness and Trump will now start sinking in the polls as a result of his clumsy remarks about birtherism and his call to his deplorable minions to harm Hillary Clinton.
Here are two nice links to betting markets:
https://electionbettingodds.com/
There has been a 4.2% shift to HRC in 24 hours.
Here is another one:
http://predictwise.com/