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Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

3. An incumbent should win in Indiana

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2018, 03:56 AM

Nov 2018

Somewhat strange state in that the electorate is heavily white (83%) and with a big Republican registration edge, but not overly conservative. The 38-22 split among self-identified conservatives and liberals is not a disaster compared to the national number of 36-27.

It would be disastrous to lose incumbents in states with fewer than 40% conservatives. The examples are Indiana and Florida. Also New Jersey, although that one seems less problematic.

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Highlight:

Whoa. What the hell happened in Indiana? [View all] Drunken Irishman Nov 2018 OP

Don't believe what you hear, the entire country is uprising. beachbum bob Nov 2018 #1

.. Demovictory9 Nov 2018 #2

An incumbent should win in Indiana Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #3

Jon Ralston also gave a very detailed explanation why ND polling grantcart Nov 2018 #4

Depends mostly on Lake County rpannier Nov 2018 #5

They need to see the big picture,a chance with Donnelly and Dem senate or a GOP senate and no chance sunonmars Nov 2018 #7

Bloomington and South Bend LittleGirl Nov 2018 #6