2016 Postmortem

getagrip_already

(15,163 posts)

16. it isn't exit poll in classic sense....

Tue Nov 8, 2016, 02:48 PM

Nov 2016

They aren't asking people who they voted for. They are counting noses.

Once they have a count of voters and where they are, they project who those voters likely support.

It isn't how they actually voted. They are saying if you are a an older white maile living on ronald reagon avenue, in zip code 12345, then you are likely a trump voter.

They them extrapolate that across the state and come up with a % that likely support each candidate.

It is crude. They can't capture woman r's voting for clinton, or male d's voting for trump.

For example, they have stein in NV where stein isnt even on the ballot.

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Highlight:

** Breaking: Realtime exit data shows Hillary leading in every swing state** [View all] NewsCenter28 Nov 2016 OP

Just keep swimming...just keep swimming...just keep swimming Tommy_Carcetti Nov 2016 #1

As A Runner-I Say One Step at a Time Stallion Nov 2016 #11

I always say lakercub Nov 2016 #67

That's funny! Maraya1969 Nov 2016 #79

Thanks!! Lifelong Protester Nov 2016 #2

10.30 AM JennyMominFL Nov 2016 #3

They just updated seconds ago NewsCenter28 Nov 2016 #8

Is that actually exit or just interpreted early voting? whatthehey Nov 2016 #4

Exit polls are far too frequently wrong. To hang any trust on them is foolish. Buzz Clik Nov 2016 #5

That's what I was thinking. DuckBurp Nov 2016 #40

vote or registration? imaginary girl Nov 2016 #7

Both-n/t NewsCenter28 Nov 2016 #9

Link? molova Nov 2016 #12

Harvey Keitel from Pulp Fiction Voice: Let's not start doing you know what just yet smorkingapple Nov 2016 #13

it isn't exit poll in classic sense.... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #16

This is not an exit poll, no. Ghost Dog Nov 2016 #43

They're just guessing, basically. I'll wait for tonight emulatorloo Nov 2016 #46

more than a guess, but less than vote counts..... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #50

This message was self-deleted by its author NightWatcher Nov 2016 #17

Remember Kerry and 2004 LostinRed Nov 2016 #21

Http://www.slate.com is the link and by all means GOTV!-n/t NewsCenter28 Nov 2016 #23

Oh yeah, I vividly remember. progressoid Nov 2016 #36

Remember 2004 waldnorm Nov 2016 #22

Vote! Iliyah Nov 2016 #26

The only one I don't like is Nevada.... Funtatlaguy Nov 2016 #28

Dive into the recent post by Votecastr and you will see that they are a little dubious of their own Fahrenthold451 Nov 2016 #39

They show Clinton +7 Clark County, grantcart Nov 2016 #41

OMG Where have you BEEN!?!?! berni_mccoy Nov 2016 #52

Ralston vadermike Nov 2016 #31

I know GOTV is working overtime in NH. Vinca Nov 2016 #33

Awesome! budkin Nov 2016 #34

If anyone has free time and already voted, please phonebank. Beacool Nov 2016 #35

Sorry, I find exit polling highly dubious. beaglelover Nov 2016 #37

Unfortunately it's not what the exit respondents say Loubee Nov 2016 #42

they dont ask questions... getagrip_already Nov 2016 #45

See here: emulatorloo Nov 2016 #47

Good news Fertile Ground Nov 2016 #48

North Carolina? n/t Silent3 Nov 2016 #53

They regret not doing NC NewsCenter28 Nov 2016 #58

It ain't over until the last person votes. Agnosticsherbet Nov 2016 #56

Didn't they always used to say that Republicans vote early, BlueProgressive Nov 2016 #59

Good news bucolic_frolic Nov 2016 #63

The highlight of the year for me was Brianna Keilar versus Michael Cohen: "Polls. All of them." randome Nov 2016 #65

Not sure about the method, but it's better to be ahead in all these states! Sancho Nov 2016 #71

Good; but I never fully trust exit polls after a few British disappointments LeftishBrit Nov 2016 #72

where's north carolina?! barbtries Nov 2016 #73

She's already hit Obama's 2012 score in Florida. I love it. TrollBuster9090 Nov 2016 #78

Dec 1969 #